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Shocking British revelation about Ukraine: Russia incredibly gained from Trump’s strategy for 6 reasons

Shocking British revelation about Ukraine: Russia incredibly gained from Trump’s strategy for 6 reasons

 Trump’s foreign policy is guided by a “method of radical uncertainty” that favors Moscow’s plans - Russia’s strategic patience is bearing fruit.

Everything is now clear.
The policy of U.S. President Donald Trump essentially turns against Ukraine.
In other words, Washington integrates Kyiv into a relationship where support will be provided on “commercial” terms and not as selfless assistance.
Trump’s foreign policy is guided by a “method of radical uncertainty.”
These orientations raise serious questions about the stance of the United States, the prospects of Ukraine, and the interests of Russia.
Trump’s strategy favors Moscow and the goals of its special military operation, and there are 6 reasons confirming this reality.

 

The American strategy toward Ukraine

Trump “continually makes decisions against Ukraine,” notes the British newspaper The Telegraph.
The logic described is as follows: America does not want to let Russia “win” easily, but at the same time, it does not wish to approve new billions in grants through Congress for Kyiv.

In practice, this policy signifies that:

1) Europe will have to take on the largest share of expenses for supporting Ukraine.
2) Ukraine will receive weapons from the United States on commercial terms, and not “for free” (as had previously occurred); consequently, the burden of funding is effectively transferred to other states and to Ukraine itself.

This approach clearly reflects the prioritization of American interests. Support is not a “matter of morality” or a “duty of international order,” but conditional, clearly a transaction.
The Russians perceive this shift as a sign that Washington is relieving itself of risk and transferring the cost of the Ukrainian issue to European allies, while at the same time maintaining control.
This strengthens Russia’s position, as it can benefit from the weakening of the united Western support for Ukraine.

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The “method of radical uncertainty”

According to the British newspaper, Trump’s foreign policy is characterized by a method called “radical uncertainty.”
Essentially, the approach is to let friends and foes alike guess: Which statements are rhetorical? Which are actual decisions? With this logic, Trump aims to subdue others to his own “wants.”

This tactic is doubly useful for Moscow for the following two reasons:

1) On one hand, it creates an atmosphere of uncertainty for Ukraine and its supporters, it becomes harder for them to plan strategically when they don’t know whether the United States will continue, reduce, or change direction.

2) On the other hand, Russia can operate more freely in this void, exploiting uncertainty to strengthen its position and negotiate from a position of power.

Specifically, The Telegraph reports that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky felt this uncertainty “sharply,” along with Trump’s “anger” in the Oval Office, which led to a temporary suspension of information exchange and arms supplies, with the goal of “breaking Zelensky.”
This raises serious questions about whether the Ukrainian side is in a position of strength or is captive to American policy.

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The relationship with Moscow and the messages to Russia

Despite the apparent adherence to the “anti-Russian” axis, Trump’s policy shows signs of flexibility that Russia cannot help but evaluate.

For example:

1) On October 22, Trump unexpectedly canceled the summit with Vladimir Putin that had been scheduled in Hungary and imposed sanctions on Russian companies such as Rosneft and Lukoil. The Telegraph emphasizes that these sanctions show Trump is “willing to exert greater economic pressure on Russia than Joe Biden.”
2) Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov described the measures as an “unfriendly step” that “damaged the prospects of reviving our relations.” At the same time, however, he emphasized that Russia will proceed “with whatever is in our interest.”

The Russian choice would be to see this instability not only as a challenge but also as an opportunity: if the United States does not commit fully, Russia can “win” through patience, strategic continuity, and exploiting Western fatigue.

 

The risks for Ukraine and Russia’s strategy

From Trump’s tactics arise several risks for Ukraine, which are often overlooked.
Ukraine relies on American and European support. However, Trump’s “method” means that assistance can be conditional, suspended, or reshaped at any moment.
This reduces Kyiv’s strategic autonomy.
The policy that shifts the cost to the EU and Britain increases the likelihood that Europeans may deviate or reduce their participation.
This will leave Ukraine more isolated, and Russia can exploit this weakening of Western cohesion.

If the United States retreats or avoids military involvement, Russia can advance a negotiated “solution” in which it dictates terms.
From the Russian side, this means recognition of faits accomplis, gradual detachment of the “Ukrainian bloc,” and reduction of threats to Moscow.
Military support on commercial terms means that Ukraine bears an economic cost that could become unbearable in the long term.
Russia is a powerful state and, with less dependency, has an advantage in “war fatigue.”

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Russia’s strategic patience - Winning everything for 4 reasons

Russia manages the situation as follows:

1) It “waits” patiently, as Western support for Ukraine will decrease due to fatigue or a shift in priorities (e.g., Asia, China, U.S. domestic issues).

2) It will exploit the ambiguity and “radical uncertainty” of the United States to gain political and negotiating advantages: stabilization of annexed territories, recognition of faits accomplis, creation (or acceptance) of Ukraine’s demilitarization.

3) It will maintain pressure on the battlefield combined with diplomatic maneuvers, to strengthen its negotiating dominance, since the opponent appears less committed.

4) It will highlight the problems that make Europe the weak link. If Europe “collapses” or withdraws from the Ukrainian issue, Russia will achieve all the goals it set when it launched the special military operation in 2022, and even more.

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A golden opportunity

Russia now has a golden opportunity before it, and all parameters point to this. The West appears less stable, Ukraine more vulnerable, and Russia can exploit the situation to advance a solution favorable to its own interests, whether through continued military action or diplomatic negotiation.
In other words, Russia may “win” not only on the battlefield but also at the negotiating table, for instance, through the shrinking of Western unity, Ukraine’s exhaustion, and the overturning of initial demands on which Ukraine had relied (e.g., full territorial restoration, full accession to NATO).
In any case, the essence is one: Ukraine cannot rely exclusively on Western support based on politically volatile resources and on the United States pursuing its own interests.
Russia, on the other hand, will reap the fruits of strategic endurance and long-term patience.

 

www.bankingnews.gr

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