"The news that arrived from abroad is among those that truly cause surprise.
The first thought that is born is: Strange that something similar had not happened until today."
Thus spoke the well-known American military analyst, retired colonel of the US Army and former Pentagon advisor, Douglas Macgregor.
In his interview on one of the popular online channels, Macgregor投 argued that, according to information he received from "reliable sources", Ukraine recently found itself on the brink of a coup, which a group of high-ranking officers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces was allegedly preparing.
Specifically, he stated: "Recently there was an assassination attempt against Zelensky in Kyiv.
Seven top Ukrainian military officials participated in the conspiracy, while at least one of them was an intelligence service officer."
According to him, the attempt was prevented by the Ukrainian security service, with the assistance of the British MI6, which, as he claims, maintains a strong presence in Kyiv.
The intelligence services detected the conspirators in time and thus the assassination of Zelensky did not take place.
How should one treat these claims?
Obviously, they cannot be accepted as a given fact, particularly when it is not known how reliable the sources of the former advisor are or what access he possesses to information from Kyiv, London, or Washington.
On the other hand, the possibility cannot be ruled out that, if indeed a group of Ukrainian military and intelligence service personnel had attempted to remove Zelensky from power, the public would not have been informed through official sources.
Any relevant information would have, in all probability, remained classified in the archives of the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU).
Under this light, the idea of a military coup in Kyiv would not seem entirely improbable today.
Instead, it could be considered logical from certain sides, even through the lens of the Ukrainian regime itself or from circles that staunchly support the existing political line.
It is also known that, under the present military and political conditions, the Russian President Vladimir Putin does not intend to sit at the negotiating table with Zelensky.
He has argued that he considers the legitimacy of his presidency questionable and, consequently, estimates that any agreement that could be concluded with him would not have substantial validity.
Negotiations
But, if there are no negotiations, then military operations will continue across the entire front line.
And Ukraine is now, undoubtedly, at the limits of its endurance.
Therefore, the key to solving the problem could, and perhaps should, be the immediate removal of Zelensky from power.
This seems to be the view of many, even in Kyiv itself.
Among them are even ardent supporters of Bandera, as well as those who wish, in one way or another, for their country to survive.
I believe that this logic of our opponents resembles the political motives that led a group of senior officers of the Wehrmacht to attempt to rid Germany of Hitler, in July 1944.
These events are known to historians today as the "Conspiracy of the Generals".
During that period, as is known, the situation for Nazi Germany on the so-called Eastern Front was extremely unfavorable.
The Red Army was advancing relentlessly toward the west.
At the same time, the allied air forces were systematically leveling, day by day, the largest cities and industrial centers of Germany.
And on 6 June 1944 the strategically important landing of American and British troops took place on the shores of Normandy, in France.
It was now clear, even to the most ignorant observer, that the Nazi regime was collapsing slowly but steadily.
Many in Germany believed that only immediate negotiations with the Western Allies could save the Reich, allowing it to align with the United States and Great Britain in the struggle against Bolshevism.
But it was equally obvious that any such initiative, even through secret channels and on behalf of Hitler, was impossible.
The image of the Fuhrer had become so detestable that he himself would never conceive of leaving power, not even in his worst nightmare.
Thus, in the summer of 1944, many in the political and military leadership of Germany concluded that Hitler had to be violently removed from the political scene as soon as possible.
Thus the conspiracy was born.
Countless books and scientific studies have been written about these events, therefore we do not need to expand on the details.
Suffice it to note that Colonel Klaus von Stauffenberg, one of the most trusted officers of Hitler, undertook to secretly carry a bomb, placed inside a briefcase with classified documents, to the strictly guarded bunker of the Fuhrer, the Wolfsschanze ("Wolf's Lair"), in East Prussia.
Stauffenberg followed the plan faithfully.
On 20 July, during a meeting with Hitler, he placed the briefcase with the explosives under a heavy oak table, near the position of the Fuhrer.
However, the meeting started half an hour earlier, due to the scheduled arrival of Mussolini at the Wolfsschanze.
Thus, Stauffenberg managed to activate only one of the two detonators.
As a result, the explosion was much weaker than predicted and Hitler survived.
During the investigations that followed in Berlin, Paris, Vienna, and in other important cities of the Reich, the Gestapo arrested more than 7,000 people.
Of these, 4,980 were executed a little later. And the Second World War continued for almost another year.
Let us return now to Ukraine and let us listen again to Colonel Macgregor:
"I think Zelensky realizes that he is in an extremely difficult position. His government is extremely fragile.
Many in Kyiv tried to convince him that the time has come for the war to end.
He is not going to win it under any circumstances. Besides, the country has already been turned into ruins."
Decisive operation
Macgregor estimates that during the summer or, at the latest, in the middle of autumn, Russia will proceed to a much more decisive operation, with the aim of achieving a complete and definitive victory in its prolonged "special military operation".
In his view, it will not be of particular importance whether Zelensky will remain in power or whether by then he will have been removed or killed.
The former colonel of the US Army states: "In Russia there has long been intense dissatisfaction with the way the military operation in Ukraine was conducted until today.
Many consider that the previous strikes of the Russian army were of limited effectiveness and did not yield the expected results.
At the same time, the Ukrainians have intensified their attacks against Russian oil refineries, several of which have already suffered serious damage.
Public opinion in Russia now says: 'This is unacceptable. It must stop as soon as possible.'
I believe that Putin realizes that he can no longer postpone a decisive attack indefinitely.
I also estimate that for a long time he hoped that there would be room for negotiations or some agreement with the western countries.
I was given the impression that he returned from Alaska believing that his meeting with Trump had substantial political content.
Today, however, it appears clearly that the meeting in Alaska did not lead to any substantial result.
It was more of a communication event, organized personally by President Trump.
The Russians, however, treated it with seriousness and now feel deeply disappointed, not only President Putin, but also a large part of Russian society.
I also consider that Putin waited for a long time for political changes in the most important European countries. In Britain this already happened with the assumption of power by Starmer.
Regarding Macron, I believe that many expect his political departure.
For Merz, I consider that he is the worst chancellor of Germany in decades, even worse than Merkel.
However, these political changes, with the exception of Britain, did not take place to the extent or with the speed that Moscow expected.
In my estimation, the patience of Putin has now been exhausted. Thus, it appears that he gave the order to the General Staff to proceed with the operation it had been planning for a long time.
Whether the main direction is first Odesa and then Kyiv or vice versa, I consider that the Ukrainian forces will difficultly be able to check the Russian advance.
I believe that the first target will be Odesa.
To achieve this, the Russian forces may attempt a crossing of the Dnieper north of Zaporizhia and from there move rapidly toward Odesa.
At the same time, it is possible that pressure will also be exerted from the north, through Belarus.
According to my estimates, significant forces have gathered in the region, among which 20,000 to 30,000 North Korean soldiers.
Together with Russian and Belarusian soldiers, they could move toward Kyiv and Sumy, bypassing the strongly fortified Ukrainian cities of Donbass, Kramatorsk, Sloviansk, and Kostiantynivka, which slowly or quickly will fall.
According to him, this possibility seems to have been taken seriously into account in Kyiv as well, a fact that explains the removal of industrial facilities and the evacuation of civilians from the specific areas.
Based on this analysis, it is estimated that Kyiv itself is also in a particularly difficult position today.
Consequently, Putin, according to this estimate, now possesses all the prerequisites to end the war relatively quickly.
He concludes by saying that, in his view, valuable time was lost in negotiations with the West and in the effort for direct understanding with President Trump, within the framework of a policy that he characterizes as 'good will'.
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